Save NIH $$$: eliminate “alternative” medicine

This past week, President Obama called on all federal agencies to voluntarily propose budget cuts of 5%. What, cut the science budget? Well, Mr. President, you might be surprised to learn that there's a way for you that cut the NIH budget without hurting biomedical research. In fact, it will help.

Here's my proposal: save over $240 million per year in the NIH budget by cutting all funding for NCCAM and OCCAM, the two centers that fund alternative medicine. NCCAM is the National Center for Complementary and Alternative Medicine, and OCCAM is the Office of Cancer Complementary and Alternative Medicine, and both of them exist primarily to promote pseudoscience. For the current year, NCCAM’s budget is $128.8 million, an amount that has rapidly grown from $2 million in 1992, despite the fact that not a single “alternative” therapy supported by NCCAM has proven beneficial to health. OCCAM’s budget was $121 million in 2008 (the latest I could find) and presumably higher in 2010. That’s over $240M, not counting money these programs got from the stimulus package (and yes, they did get some stimulus funding).

These two organizations use our tax dollars – and take money away from real biomedical research – to support some of the most laughably pseudoscientific claims that you can find. To take just one example, NCCAM has spent $3.1 million supporting studies of Reiki, an “energy healing” method. Energy healing is based on the unsupported claim that the human body is surrounded by an energy field, and that Reiki practitioners can manipulate this field to improve someone's health. Not surprisingly, the $3.1 million has so far failed to produce any evidence that Reiki works. But because there was never any evidence in the first place, we should never have spent precious research dollars looking into it.

A breakthrough cure for Ebola

Ebola is one of the nastiest, most frightening viruses known to man. Its victims suffer fevers, muscle weakness, and other symptoms that progress to severe bleeding, both internal and external, that eventually causes them to bleed to death. All known strains of Ebola virus have very high mortality rates, ranging from 25% to 90%, and there is no cure. Ebola virus was the subject of a dramatic and frightening 1995 disaster movie, Outbreak, starring Dustin Hoffman, Rene Russo, and Morgan Freeman.

Last week, in what may be the biggest medical breakthrough of its kind in years, a group of scientists published results in The Lancet describing a completely new type of anti-viral treatment that appears to cure Ebola. They report a 100% success rate, although admittedly the test group was very small, just 4 rhesus monkeys.

This is a breakthrough not only because it may give us a cure for an uncurable, incredibly nasty virus, but also because the same method might work for other viruses, and because we have woefully few effective antiviral treatments. We can treat bacterial infections with antibiotics, but for most viruses, we have either a vaccine or nothing. And a vaccine, wonderful as it is, doesn’t help you after you’re already infected.

The scientists, led by Thomas Geisbert at Boston University, used a relatively new genomics technique called RNA interference to defeat the virus. Here’s how it works. First, a little background: the Ebola virus is made of RNA, just like the influenza virus. And just like influenza, Ebola has very few genes - only 8. One of its genes, called L protein, is responsible for copying the virus itself. Two others, called VP24 and VP35, interfere with the human immune response, making it difficult for our immune system to defeat the virus.

Geisbert and his colleagues (including scientists from Tekmira Pharmaceuticals and USAMRIID) designed and synthesized RNA sequences that would stick to these 3 genes like glue. How did they do that? We know the Ebola genome’s sequence – it was sequenced way back in 1993. And we know that RNA sticks to itself using the same rules that DNA uses. This knowledge allowed Geisbert and colleagues to design a total of 10 pieces of RNA (called “small interfering RNA” or siRNA) that they knew would stick to the 3 Ebola genes. They also took care to make sure that their sticky RNA would not stick to any human genes, which might be harmful. They packaged these RNAs for delivery by inserting them into nanoparticles that were only 81-85 nanometers across.

In the key experiment, the scientists infected rhesus monkeys with a dose of Ebola that was 30,000 times greater than the normal fatal dose. They injected the siRNA treatments 30 minutes later, and again each day for 6 days. All the monkeys survived with no long-term effects.

When I read this story in The Lancet, my first reaction was: wow. A brand-new antiviral treatment, and against Ebola? In a commentary in The Lancet, Heinz Feldmann wrote that we are “in desperate need of approved countermeasures against Ebola-virus infections,” and called the new study a “milestone.” That’s putting it mildly.

Somehow, except for the UK Daily Mail, the major media outlets seem to have entirely missed this story, which I think is by far the biggest medical story of the week, if not the year. Ebola virus doesn’t get much attention (notwithstanding the 1995 movie about it), primarily because it occurs in central Africa. But air travel has made our world much smaller, and even a relatively isolated virus could easily get out of control.

There’s still a much work needed to turn the new Ebola treatment into an approved drug, but the prospect of a cure is suddenly very real, and the techniques used to create it are truly remarkable.

Alzheimer’s treatments don’t work, but you can buy them on the Internet

A new NIH-sponsored review of the scientific literature on Alzheimer’s disease has some disappointing news: nothing works. The panel's chair, Martha Daviglus, a professor of medicine at Northwestern University, said "We wish we could tell people that taking a pill or doing a puzzle every day would prevent this terrible disease, but current evidence doesn't support this."

Despite the lack of evidence, plenty of internet quacks are happy to recommend all sorts of supplements to treat Alzheimer’s, as we’ll see in below. First, the NIH panel’s main conclusion:
“There is currently no evidence of even moderate scientific quality supporting the association of any modifiable factor—dietary supplement intake, use of prescription or non-prescription drugs, diet, exercise, and social engagement—with reduced risk of Alzheimer's disease. The evidence surrounding risk reduction for cognitive decline is similarly limited.”
In other words, we can’t cure it, and we can’t even delay it.

Not surprisingly, our old friend “Dr.” Joseph Mercola (he’s an osteopath, not an M.D., and I promise to write more about that one day) has plenty of recommendations to prevent or treat Alzheimer’s. He even has a web page showing his “top 5 tips to beat Alzheimer’s.” Let’s look at what he has to offer.

1. “Eat Healthy.” Mercola claims here that “Omega-3 fats, such as those from animal-based sources like krill oil, have also been found to help ward off Alzheimer’s and diabetes.” Wait, does Mercola sell krill oil? You bet! He even has a special webpage for his krill oil products, and ads for it appear all over his site. In direct contradiction to Mercola, the NIH report says “In a single randomized trial of omega-3 fatty acids with only 26 weeks of follow-up, there appeared to be no effect on cognitive functioning.”

2. “Exercise.” Although Mercola is wrong to claim that exercise reduces the risk for Alzheimer’s – the NIH report says it doesn't – at least this is good general health advice.

3. “Avoid Mercury.” Uh oh, now we’re getting deep into the woo. There’s no evidence that mercury causes Alzheimer’s, and Mercola goes well beyond just saying “avoid mercury.” He advises you to “remove dental amalgam fillings, which are one of the major sources of mercury.” This bit of unscientific advice has been around for decades, but it’s little more than pseudoscience. I recommend the excellent Quackwatch site for a detailed debunking of this one. It's so widespread that several official reports have investigated it, and the American Dental Association reported back in 1998 that amalgam fillings are safe and effective.

Mercola has a second bit of very bad advice here: he suggests that you avoid thimerosal-containing vaccines. As I’ve written before, Mercola is a major anti-vaccination scaremonger, and here he goes again – suggesting, without any evidence (and no citations to any scientific studies) that vaccines may cause Alzheimer’s.

4. “Avoid Aluminum.” According to Mercola, “aluminum has long been associated with Alzheimer's disease.” The NIH report, in contradiction to this, says no such association has been found. So who should you believe, an independent panel of distinguished experts on Alzheimer’s, or an Internet osteopath selling supplements based on unproven claims? Oh, and Mercola gets in another anti-vaccination claim here: he says that “some vaccines also contain aluminum.”

And don’t forget to “avoid aluminum cookware”! And hey... does Mercola sell cookware? You betcha! He calls it “the safe alternative to toxic cookware.”

5. “Exercise Your Mind.” The NIH report says this one isn’t proven either, but at least it doesn’t do any harm.

What we really know is that the main risk factors for Alzheimer's are things we have no control over: age and genetics, particularly the APOE protein (which I wrote about recently). The NIH panel recommends much more research, which is desperately needed. If people would donate their money to Alzheimer’s research rather than wasting it on ineffective treatments, maybe we’d find a cure just a little bit sooner.

Personal genetic testing, available soon at your local pharmacy

This past week, Pathway Genomics and Walgreens announced that they would start selling Pathway’s genetic testing kits at 6000 Walgreens stores. I thought this was good news – I, for one, would like to be able to run my own genetic tests. I’d like to know what risks my genes might carry, particularly if there was something I could do to reduce those risks. But what does Pathway’s test tell you, and is it worth it?

Pathway has been selling its testing kits since September, but selling them at a large chain store like Walgreens would undoubtedly reach many more customers. After their joint press release last Tuesday, though, someone at the FDA noticed, and stepped in to ask a few tough questions. In a letter on May 10 (read it here), the FDA told Pathway that they had to get FDA approval for their diagnostic kits, or else explain why they don’t need it. Pathway claims its kit is exempt from FDA approval, but that might be a tricky argument to prove. After the FDA sent its letter, Walgreens announced that it would hold off for now on selling the kits.

Meanwhile, the real question is, what will Pathway’s test tell you about your genes? Some biomedical scientists are saying that the science of genetic testing is too new to offer directly to consumers. They argue that the results of a genetic test are difficult to interpret, and that patients shouldn’t be given this complex information without expert guidance. Stanford University’s Hank Greely, quoted in the Washington Post, said "Information is powerful, but misunderstood information can be powerfully bad." Are doctors just trying to protect their business, or are they right? I decided to take a look.

Pathway promises to tell you about your risk for up to 70 diseases and conditions, if you pay $399 for the full suite of tests. (That's the price if you order directly from Pathway, which you can do right now. The Walgreens price was supposed to be lower.)

For example, if you are a carrier of the cystic fibrosis gene (which is included in the Pathway test), and if your spouse is also a carrier, then as a couple you have a 25% chance of having a child with cystic fibrosis. The genetics of this disease are well understood, and the test for the mutation should be highly reliable. This seems like a good value to me, and I see no reason why people shouldn’t be allowed to know if they’re a carrier for cystic fibrosis; it may be important to their future plans for having children.

For other diseases, though, the Pathway test provides much more ambiguous information. Let’s look at late-onset Alzheimer’s disease, something that almost everyone worries about as they get older. The Pathway site doesn’t specify which gene they test, but there is no known “Alzheimer’s gene.” Research on Alzheimer’s has demonstrated that some genetic mutations are associated with an increased risk, but the picture is far from clear. For example, mutations in the Apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene on chromosome 19 appear to increase the risk for Alzheimer’s after age 60. According to the National Institute on Aging, the e4 (epsilon-4) variant of this gene:
“occurs in about 40 percent of all people who develop late-onset AD and is present in about 25 to 30 percent of the population. People with AD are more likely to have an APOE e4 allele than people who do not develop AD. However, many people with AD do not have an APOE e4 allele.”
Complicated, no? And this is the clearest association between a genetic mutation and Alzheimer’s — a half-dozen other genes are associated with slightly increased risk, and research is ongoing. So should anyone be allowed to test his/her genome for this mutation?

Yes, emphatically yes!

It’s my genome, and I should be able to look at it if I want to. So what if the information is complex? If someone is curious enough to pay for this test, then when they get their results back, perhaps they’ll be motivated to learn more about genetics so that they can understand their own risk. Giving people information about their own genome seems like a great way to educate the public, and to make people more aware of the power of genetic information. Of course there are risks: charlatans might offer to sell bogus treatments for all kinds of genetic conditions, for example. People might misinterpret the results. But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t allow people to discover more about themselves.

In a very real way, genetic information is no different from other medical facts. We have easy access to our blood pressure numbers, and no one is suggesting that we shouldn’t, despite the fact that interpretation of blood pressure numbers can be complicated. (For example, should you reduce salt intake, or take statins to lower your blood pressure, or change your lifestyle in other ways?)

I hope the FDA allows Pathway to sell its DNA test at Walgreens. Personally, I think the value of the tests they’re offering today is mostly to satisfy curiosity – we don’t have treatments for most of the genetic diseases they can detect, so there's not much you can do about them. Some of the results will be useful to some people, though, and over time we’ll develop new treatments that will make more genetic tests valuable. Now that Pandora’s box is open, we can’t close it again. And we shouldn’t.

The first therapeutic cancer vaccine

Time for some good news. This past week, the FDA approved the first-ever vaccine to treat cancer. The treatment is called Provenge, developed by a small company named Dendreon , and it’s designed for advanced prostate cancer. The idea of developing a vaccine to treat cancer has been around for a long time, but never before has a treatment made it all the way to the clinic. This is very good news, especially if it heralds many more new vaccine-like cancer treatments.

So what is Provenge? Unlike most vaccines, it’s not a simple shot. A typical vaccine contains some form of the infectious agent, usually a virus or a bacterium, which we administer as a shot (or a jab, as our friends in the UK put it). The virus is usually either dead or modified so that it cannot cause disease, but enough of it remains to “train” your immune system. The immune system reacts to the dead virus and, though the amazing mechanism of acquired immunity, is then primed to attack and eliminate a live virus (or bacterium) if it ever shows up again.

A cancer vaccine is not nearly so simple. Unfortunately, we can't just grind up a bit of cancerous tissue, treat it somehow, and then inject it. The reason this new treatment is called a vaccine is that, like conventional vaccines, it trains a person’s immune system to recognize and attack the unwanted invaders – in this case, the cancerous cells. But this presents a big problem, because cancer cells are the body’s own cells. How do we get the immune system to attack them without triggering a much broader, possibly damaging, autoimmune response? As Bruce Goldman explained in a 2002 article, the trick is to find some feature on the surface of cancer cells that marks them as abnormal, and then to get the immune system to target that feature (or antigen).

Luckily, because cancer cells have gone haywire, they tend to have lots of abnormal surface features. But every cancer tends to be a little bit different, which means that these antigens are different in each patient. That means that the vaccine has to be customized for each patient, an exquisitely difficult process. Cancer vaccines use another cell type, called dendritic cells, to create a vaccine that is customized for each patient: first a bit of the patient’s tumor has be collected, and then grown with dendritic cells, and then re-injected, which alerts the immune system to attack just the tumor cells. This is the process used in Provenge.

(Note that Provenge is the first therapeutic vaccine because it is used to treat cancer. There is already a preventive cancer vaccine available: Gardasil, which prevents some types of cervical cancer. But that’s another topic.)

Three years ago, the FDA rejected Dendreon’s first application, asking for more evidence that it worked. The company then conducted a new placebo-controlled, double-blind trial and found that Provenge (sipuleucel-T) extended patients' median survival time by 4.1 months. That might not sound like much, but for men with advanced prostate cancer, it’s better than anything else available. And this is only the additional survival time. Five years ago, Dendreon reported on an earlier study in which “34 percent of patients receiving Provenge were alive at 36 months compared to 11 percent of patients receiving placebo.” In that earlier study, median survival time increased by 4.5 months, essentially the same result as the newer study.

One disappointing part of the recent news is the price: Dendreon announced that it will charge $93,000 per patient. That’s an awful lot of money, and it’s not clear yet if insurance will cover this. No doubt desperate patients will be glad to pay for the few extra months of life. In fact, Dendreon said that its price is based on the assumption that people will pay $23,000 per extra month of life, based on the cost of other cancer drugs. We can only hope the price will drop dramatically as the company improves its manufacturing process, but (unfortunately) lower production costs don’t always get passed on to patients.

These are not miraculous results: Provenge is not a cure. And unlike conventional vaccines, it doesn’t prevent the disease; instead, it treats people who are already sick. But it’s a different type of treatment, and we can be optimistic that this opens the door for many improvements in cancer vaccines, not just for prostate cancer but for many other types of cancer. Trials are already under way for several other types of cancer, and the future looks very encouraging.

Making money by making people sick

I’m a long-time fan of Quackwatch.org, an award-winning website built by Stephen Barrett, M.D. that covers a wide variety of questionable medical practices. I just discovered that Dr. Barrett has a sort of “Hall of Shame” page, listing some of the most egregious promoters of bad medicine and bad science. Everyone on this page has been involved with the promotion of questionable practices and products, some of them so outrageous that they’ve been the target of government enforcement actions. (Whatever conspiracy theoriest might say, the government doesn’t have the resources to go after most quacks.) Barrett helpfully tags each person with one asterisk for each enforcement action.

This is an excellent resource for anyone who might question a product that is being sold over the Internet. It’s also a good place to go if you’re skeptical about the advice offered by a self-proclaimed expert on any medical topic. Each name on Barrett’s list is linked to a more detailed page of useful facts about the person. Let’s look at what it says about Joseph Mercola, D.O., who operates a startlingly popular website dedicated to – well, let’s see.

Mercola is a major promoter of anti-vaccination myths, as I’ve written before, here and here and here. His latest anti-vax screed is an attack on Gardasil, the HPV vaccine, but I won’t discuss that today – Joseph Albietz dismantled it a few weeks ago over at Science-Based Medicine.

Mercola originally came to my attention because of his anti-vaccine activism. He maintains a special page devoted to this topic, which he states contains “vaccine news.” It should really be called “anti-vaccine news”, because that’s what it contains; it’s a font of misinformation. Essentially he claims that every vaccine is bad for you, and that vaccines are little more than a huge government-industrial conspiracy to make money for Big Pharma. Instead of getting vaccinated, he argues, you should try his all-natural treatments instead. Great idea! If everyone followed his advice, who knows how many people would die of preventable infectious diseases? I wonder if Mercola really believes his own anti-science propaganda, or if he knows it is bogus and just doesn’t care.

Regardless of whether he is sincere or not, what Mercola does really well is to promote his own products. A 2006 Business Week article pointed out that Mercola “is a master promoter, using every trick of traditional and Internet direct marketing to grow his business,” and comparing him to “the old-time snake oil salesmen of the 1800s.” That’s exactly what he is, but he uses the modern tools of internet advertising to turn his particular brand of snake oil into a very successful business.

He sells hundreds of “natural” products and makes countless claims for them, most of which are either unproven, medically vague, or irrelevant. He still sells the very same products that the FDA warned him about: he merely changed the way he advertises them. The FDA doesn’t really have any power to regulate supplements – all it can do is prevent specific claims about curing disease. Clever snake-oil salesmen like Mercola can easily circumvent the FDA with a few simple edits to their websites.

For example, Mercola was warned about a product called Chorella in both the 2005 FDA warning letter and the 2006 warning letter, but he’s still selling Chorella on his site. He claims that it will “boost your immune system”, “purify your blood and clean away toxins,” promote tissue repair, and countless other unsupported claims. All of these claims are marked with an asterisk (*), and if you scroll down you’ll find that he qualifies his claims with this:
“*These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure or prevent any disease.”
This disclaimer appears below the instructions on how to buy the product, of course.

Mercola knows how to diversify his product line, too: he even has his own brand of cookware, which he claims will help you avoid the nasty toxins that are getting into your food during cooking. What, you didn’t know? Mercola says we should throw out all of our stainless steel, aluminum, and Teflon cookware because these materials will make you sick – unlike his cookware, which he says is “made from the earth's natural minerals and water” among its many other virtues. What, and aluminum isn’t a natural mineral? This stuff is almost hilarious, but unfortunately some people believe Mercola’s wacky claims. His cookware site claims that aluminum causes Alzheimer’s disease (wrong), that Teflon causes multiple types of cancer (wrong again), that stainless steel causes narrowing of the blood vessels (wrong again), and on and on.

Oh, I see it’s dinner time. Better fry up some synthetic fish sticks in my Teflon skillet and then eat them with my stainless steel fork. Yum.

Meet the new flu, same as the old flu*

Next year we’ll be back to one flu vaccine, thank goodness. The flu vaccine protects you against three different strains of the influenza virus, but for the past year, we had a separate vaccine for the new pandemic (“swine”) flu. It’s always hard to get people to take their shots (or “jabs,” as they say in England – why can’t we come up with a less painful-sounding word?), and asking everyone to go out and get two shots was never ideal.

For the next flu season, the vaccine will include these 3 strains:
  1. The 2009 “swine flu” strain, H1N1
  2. The previous seasonal flu, H3N2
  3. Influenza B, a milder flu that has been around for decades.
What happened? Well, the WHO, the CDC, and the FDA have decided to replace one of the three strains in the flu vaccine with the new H1N1. The strain they replaced was also called H1N1, which is rather confusing. Let’s look at the history of these strains, which is an interesting picture of virus evolution.

In 1918, the Spanish flu (which originated in the U.S., despite its name) spread throughout the world and killed an estimated 30-40 million people, in the worst flu epidemic in recorded history. This was the original H1N1 flu. It soon evolved into a milder flu, which was around until...

In 1957, a new pandemic strain appeared, H2N2 or "Asian flu." This completely replaced H1N1 in the human population, although H1N1 continued to fluorish in pigs (more on that below). H2N2 dominated until...

In 1968, the Hong Kong flu pandemic, H3N2, swept the world and replaced H2N2.

Then, very suspicously, in 1977 the H1N1 strain reappeared in Russia. It is widely believed that this was an accidental escape from the Soviet Union’s biowarfare program. This H1N1 strain didn’t replace H3N2, but both strains have co-circulated ever since, with H3N2 generally causing more serious illness.

All along, the milder influenza B strain has been around as well. That’s why the vaccine contains 3 strains: H3N2 (from 1968), H1N1 (from 1918 via Russia in 1977), and flu B.

That brings us to late 2008. Several strains of Spanish flu (H1N1) had been circulating in pigs for decades. Two of those strains combined to create the new pandemic flu, which jumped from pigs to humans. Oddly enough, we don’t have any reports of a pandemic among pigs, which is why “swine flu” is a misnomer. Here are the latest statistics for human infections in the U.S., for the last week of March 2010:
  • 3.7% of people tested turned out to have influenza. (In other words, the season is over, as I predicted in mid-January.)
  • 98% of positive influenza specimens were pandemic H1N1.
  • 2% of positive specimens were influenza B.
So it seems that the swine flu has replaced the Russian flu. At least it has in the vaccine. It might even be safe to get rid of H3N2 in the vaccine, but there’s little harm in keeping it in the vaccine for one more season, just in case H3N2 stays with us a bit longer. So next fall we’ll be back to one shot, and “pandemic flu” will be just plain old “seasonal flu” once again.

The CDC's advisory panel also (rather quietly) expanded their recommendation on who should get vaccinated “to include all people aged 6 months and older.” That’s right, everyone, even the elderly. Wait until the anti-vaccination movement gets hold of this – they’ll have a field day. Actually I’m surprised they haven’t already. Maybe they don’t know about the nanobots we’ll be putting in vaccines in the very near future.

*with apologies to The Who.